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Last Updated: 19/12/2024
Spatio-temporal variation of malaria transmission in Africa: modelling, capacity-building and translating research into practice
Objectives
The two main aims of this proposal are:
- To develop computationally efficient algorithms for malaria prevalence mapping.
- To make such methodology available and accessible to researchers and public health staff at the Ministries of Health in Kenya, Somalia, Sudan, Tanzania and Uganda
To this end, the following specific objectives will be pursued:
- To implement approximations to spatio-temporal Gaussian processes for malaria mapping in sub-Saharan Africa using the TensorFlow computing platform.
- To validate each of the approximations in 1) using data on malaria prevalence collected in Africa since 1900, which are publicly available from the Harvard dataverse.
- To develop a user-friendly web application, Maplaria, that will allow Ministry of Health staff to independently perform prevalence mapping.
- To build a capacity platform between Lancaster and KEMRI Wellcome Trust in Nairobi through training activities and development of joint research projects.
Model-based geostatistics (MBG) is a branch of spatial statistics that has been increasingly used to support disease control efforts in low-resource settings, where disease registries are geographically incomplete or non-existent. More specifically, Maplaria will allow the end-user to upload newly collected prevalence data that will be integrated with the baseline data used in the second specific objective. The outputs of Maplaria will be updated estimates of malaria burden at national and sub-national level for any desired year.
Health Systems
Information Systems
Measurement of Transmission
Modeling
Jul 2019 — Jun 2021
$73,783