Human mobility in the Indonesian archipelago and risk of malaria importation into the receptive malaria free-zones.

Objectives

This research will develop the quantitative framework of human mobility and feasibility assessment for malaria elimination in the Indonesian archipelago where the risk of infection with malaria is extremely heterogeneous across the5000 km-long chain of 17,000 islands. Three areas support these central aims: 1) exploration of human movement patterns using the mobile phone data needs tobe conducted to identify movement of infected individuals from high to low transmission areas and movement of susceptible individuals from low to high and back to low transmission areas, 2) malaria imported and outbreak risks will be quantified using derived human movement patterns, risk of infection acquisition and the known parasite rate for each region of their origin, 3) strategic operational feasibility of malaria elimination will be assessed using comprehensive indicators and non-subjective ranking technique to allow objective determination of the elimination feasibility for each district. Critical indicators that constraint districts to achieve their elimination agenda will be identified.